隔夜市场 新西兰是否持续衰退

美国市场昨晚因假期休市,交易有限。英国通胀率达到 2% ,符合预期。英国央行在今晚的利率决定前取得了不错的进展。预计英国央行将在全国大选前维持利率不变,但相关数据确实为降息开了绿灯。美国假期期间,货币市场保持稳定,欧元交易价为 1.0730,英镑维持在 1.2700 左右。
美元走弱使澳元坚挺于 0.6650 上方,而新西兰元回落至 0.6130。新西兰经常账户赤字仍然很大,这是一个持续存在的问题,反映了长期的结构性经济问题。当地市场将关注新西兰的 GDP,希望数据高于0值,这会使该国摆脱技术性衰退。新西兰经济正处于衰退,唯一的优势是创纪录的移民。
US markets were closed for a holiday overnight so action was limited. UK inflation came in at the target limit of 2%, in line with expectations. and welcome progress for the Bank of England ahead of tonight’s interest rate decision. The Bank of England is expected to hold rates, ahead of the National Election, but this does give the green light for interest rate cuts. The currency markets were steady with the US holiday, as the EUR traded 1.0730, while the GBP held around 1.2700.
The easy reserve allowed the AUD to firm above 0.6650, while the NZD fell back to 0.6130. The NZ Current Account deficit remains large and this is an ongoing problem, which reflect long-term structural economic problems. The local markets will focus on NZ GDP, hoping that it will be positive enough, to move the Country out of a technical recession. The only reason it could be positive is record immigration, because the economy remains in a recession.

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